Results of the Climate Change Scenarios According to the Second National Communication on Climate Change

For the needs of preparation of the Second National Communication on climate change, calculations were made to estimate the main meteorological variables for the entire territory of Republic of Macedonia for years 2025, 2050, 2075 and 2100. Also, the method of statistical downscaling was applied for the purpose of regional estimation of the climate change [5]. As representative for different climate and geographical regions, meteorological stations that have long-term records of quality data were selected.

Table 23.1 Changes of air temperature (°C) in the twenty-first century (mean projection), according to the emission scenario IS92a and IS92c for winter-DJF, summer-JJA and annual

DJF

JJA

Annual

2025

2050

2075

2100

2025

2050

2075

2100

2025 2050

2075

2100

IS92a 1.0

1.8

2.5

3.3

1.1

2.0

2.8

3.6

1.0 1.7

2.5

3.2

IS92c 0.9

1.3

1.6

1.7

0.9

1.4

1.8

1.9

0.8 1.3

1.6

1.7

Table 23.2 Changes of precipitation during twenty-first century (mean projection), according to

the emission scenario IS92a and IS92c for winter-DJF, summer-JJA and annual

DJF

JJA

Annual

2025

2050

2075

2100

2025

2050

2075

2100

2025 2050

2075

2100

IS92a 1

2

2

3

-5

-10

-14

-18

-1 -2

-3

-4

IS92c 1

1

2

2

-5

-7

-9

-9

-1 -2

-2

-2

0 0

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