World Political Disequilibrium

Given that problems ensuing from climate change likely will affect states very differently and some countries will respond more effectively than others, climate change has the potential to affect relations among sovereign states. Certain nations could require increased public health assistance in the face of urgent domestic needs; others could experience limits on their exports because of unanticipated changes in the global trading regime due to climate-related effects; others could become more vulnerable to foreign predation if a stronger neighbor suddenly desired their land or resources. Over the long term, the very divergent regional effects of climate change could affect the evolving global distribution of power with unpredictable consequences for international security.

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