References

Alston JM, Norton GW, Pardey PG (1995) Science under scarcity. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, USA Cash D, Buizer J (2005) Knowledge-action systems for seasonal to interannual climate forecasting. Summary of a Workshop, Report to the Roundtable on Science and Technology for Sustainability, Policy and Global Affairs. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC (available online at http://books.nap.edu/catalog/11204.html)

Chen CC, McCarl BA (2000) The value of ENSO information to agriculture: consideration of event strength and trade. J Agr Resour Econ 25:368-85 Chen CC, McCarl BA, Hill HSJ (2002) The value of ENSO information under alternative ENSO phase definitions. Climatic Change 54:305-325 Doblas-Reyes FJ, Hagedorn R, Palmer TN (2005) The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting. II. Calibration and combination. Tellus A 57:234-252 Doblas-Reyes FJ, Hagedorn R, Palmer TN (2006) Developments in dynamical seasonal forecasting relevant to agriculture. Climate Res 33(1):19-26 Douthwaite B, de Haan N, Manyong VM, Keatinge JDH (2004) Blending "hard" and "soft" science: the "follow-the-technology" approach to catalyzing and evaluating technology change. In: Campbell BM, Sayer JA (eds) Resource management: linking productivity, the environment and development. CABI Publishing, Wallingford, pp 15-32 Ellis F (2000) Rural livelihoods and diversity in developing countries. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK

Haab TC, McConnell KE (2002) Valuing environmental and natural resources. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK

Hagedorn R, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Palmer TN (2005) The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting. I. Basic concept. Tellus A 57: 219-233 Hallstrom DG (2001) Implications of climate variation and climate prediction for agricultural markets.

North Carolina State Economist 2001(11/12) Hansen JW (2002) Realizing the potential benefits of climate prediction to agriculture: issues, approaches, challenges. Agr Syst 74:309-330 Hansen JW (2005) Integrating seasonal climate prediction and agricultural models for insights into agricultural practice. Philos T Roy Soc B 360:2037-2047 Hansen JW, Sivakumar MVK (Ed) (2006) Advances in applying climate prediction in agriculture. Climate Res 33(1):1-2

Hansen JW, Marx S, Weber E (2004) The role of climate perceptions, expectations and forecasts in farmer decision making: the Argentine Pampas and South Florida. International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, New York (Technical Report 04-01) Hansen JW, Challinor A, Ines AVM, Wheeler T, Moron V (2006) Translating climate forecasts into agricultural terms: advances and challenges. Climate Res 33(1):27-41 Hentschel J, Lanjouw J, Lanjouw P, Poggi J (2000) Combining census and survey data to trace the spatial dimensions of poverty: a case study of Ecuador. World Bank Econ Rev 14(1):147-165 Lemos MC (2003) A tale of two polices: the politics of climate forecasting and drought relief in Ceará,

Brazil. Policy Sci 36:101-123 Lusenso WK, Mcpeak JG, Barrett CB, Little PD, Gebru G (2003) Assessing the value of climate forecasts information for pastoralists: evidence from southern Ethiopia and Northern Kenya. World Dev 11(9): 1477-1494

Maredia M, Byerlee D, Anderson JR (2000) Ex Post Evaluation of Economic Impacts of Agricultural Research Programs: A Tour of Good Practice. In The Future of Impact Assessment in the CGIAR: Needs, Constraints and Options. Rome, Italy: CGIAR Technical Advisory Committee Secretariat, FAO. Meinke H, Nelson R, Stone R, Selvaraju, R, Baethgen, W (2006) Actionable climate knowledge - from analysis to synthesis. Climate Res 33(1):101-110 Msangi S, Rosegrant MW, You L (2006) Advancing ex-post assessment methods of climate forecast impacts. Climate Res 33(1):67-79 Nelson DR, Finan TJ (2000) The emergence of a climate anthropology in northeast Brazil. Practicing Anthropology 22:6-10

Orlove BS (2004) How people name seasons. In: Strauss S, Orlove B (eds) Weather, climate and culture. Berg, Oxford, pp 121-140

Orlove BS, Chiang JH, Cane MA (2002) Ethnoclimatology in the Andes: a cross-disciplinary study uncovers the scientific basis for the scheme Andean potato farmers traditionally use to predict the coming rains. Am Sci 90:428-435 Palmer TN, Alessandri A, Andersen U, Canteloube P, Davey M, Délécluse P, Dequé M, Díez E, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Feddersen H, Graham R, Gualdi S, Guérémy J-F, Hagedorn R, Hoshen M, Keenlyside N, Latif M, Lazar A, Maisonnave E, Marletto V, Morse AP, Orfila B, Rogel P, Terres J-M, Thomson MC (2004) Development of a European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to inter-annual prediction. B Am Meteorol Soc 85:853-872 Patt A (2001) Understanding uncertainty: forecasting seasonal climate for farmers in Zimbabwe. Risk

Decision and Policy 6:105-119 Roncoli C (2006) Advances in ethnographic and participatory approaches to research on farmers' responses to climate predictions. Climate Res 33(1):81-99

Roncoli C, Ingram K, Kirshen P (2002) Reading the rains: local knowledge and rainfall forecasting among farmers of Burkina Faso. Soc Natur Resour 15:411-430 Roncoli C, Ingram K, Kirshen P, Jost C (2004) Meteorological meanings: understandings of seasonal rainfall forecasts by farmers of Burkina Faso. In: Strauss S, Orlove B (eds) Weather, climate and culture. Berg, Oxford, pp 181-202 Rubas DJ, Hill HSJ, Mjelde JW (2006) Economics and climate applications: exploring the frontier. Climate Res 33(1):43-54

Sivakumar MVK (ed) (2000) Climate prediction and agriculture. International START Secretariat, Washington DC, USA (Proceedings of the START/WMO International Workshop held in Geneva, Switzerland, 27-29 September 1999) Sivakumar MVK (2006) Climate prediction and agriculture: current status and future challenges. Climate Res 33(1):3-17

Stern P, Easterling WE (eds) (1999) Making climate forecasts matter. National Academy Press, Washington Stephenson DB, Coelho CADS, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Balmaseda M (2005) Forecast assimilation: a unified framework for the combination of multimodel weather and climate predictions. Tellus A 57:253-264 Tango International (2005) Vulnerability assessment methodology review. Tango International Thornton PK (2006) Ex ante impact assessment and seasonal climate forecasts: status and issues. Climate Res 33(1):55-65

Thornton PK, Kristjanson PM, Thorne PJ (2003) Measuring the potential impacts of improved food-

feed crops: methods for ex ante assessment. Field Crop Res 84:199-212 Vogel C, O'Brien K (2006) Who can eat Information? Examining the effectiveness of seasonal climate forecasts and regional climate-risk management strategies. Climate Res 33(1):111-122 WMO (2003) Report of the Climate Information and Prediction Services (CLIPS). World Meteorological Organization, Geneva (Workshop for Regional Association VI, WMO-TD No. 1164) Ziervogel G, Calder R (2003) Climate variability and rural livelihoods: assessing the impact of seasonal climate forecasts in Lesotho. Area 35:403-418 Ziervogel G, Bithell M, Washington R, Downing T (2005) Agent-based social simulation: a method for assessing the impact of seasonal climate forecast applications among smallholder farmers. Agr Syst 83:1-26

This page intentionally blank

Chapter 2

Was this article helpful?

0 0

Post a comment