Baez-Gonzalez AD, Kiniry JR, Maas SJ, Tiscareno ML, Macias JC, Mendoza JL, Richardson CW, Salinas JG, Manjarrez JR (2005) Large-area maize yield forecasting using leaf area index based yield model. Agron J 97:418-425

Bouman BAM, van Keulen H, van Laar HH, Rabbinge R (1996) The 'School of de Wit' crop growth simulation models: a pedigree and historical overview. Ag Syst 52:171-198 Brooks RJ, Semenov MA, Jamieson PD (2001) Simplifying Sirius: sensitivity analysis and development of a meta-model for wheat yield precition. Eur J Agron 14:43-60 Cane MA, Eshel G, Buckland RW (1994) Forecasting Zimbabwean maize yield using eastern equatorial

Pacific sea surface temperature. Nature 370:204-205 Cantelaube P, Terres JM (2005) Seasonal weather forecasts for crop yield modelling in Europe. Tellus


Challinor AJ, Slingo JM, Wheeler TR, Craufurd PQ, Grimes DIF (2003) Towards a combined seasonal weather and crop productivity forecasting system: determination of the spatial correlation scale. J Appl Meteorol 42:175-192 Challinor AJ, Wheeler TR, Craufurd PQ, Slingo JM, Grimes DIF (2004) Design and optimisation of a large-area process-based model for annual crops. Agr Forest Meteorol 124:99-120 Challinor AJ, Wheeler TR, Slingo JM, Grimes DIF (2005a) Simulation of crop yields using the ERA40 re-analysis: limits to skill and non-stationarity in weather-yield relationships. J Appl Meteorol


Challinor AJ, Slingo JM, Wheeler TR, Doblas-Reyes FJ (2005b) Probabilistic simulations of crop yield over western India using the DEMETER seasonal hindcast ensembles. Tellus 57A:498-512 Challinor AJ, Wheeler TR, Craufurd PQ, Slingo JM (2005c) Simulation of the impact of high temperature stress on annual crop yields. Agr Forest Meteorol 135:180-189 Cox PM, Betts RA, Bunton CB, Essery RLH, Rowntree PR, Smith J (1999) Impact of new land surface physics on the GCM simulation of climate and climate sensitivity. Clim Dynam 15:183-203 Hansen J, Challinor A, Ines A, Wheeler T, Moron V (2006) Translating climate forecasts into agricultural terms: advances and challenges. Climate Res 33(1^27—41 Krishna Kumar K, Rupa Kumar K, Ashrit RG, Deshpande NR, Hansen JW (2004) Climate impacts on

Indian agriculture. Int J Climatol 24:1375-1393 Landau S, Mitchell RAC, Barnett V, Colls JJ, Craigon J, Moore KL, Payne RW (1998) Testing winter wheat simulation models' predictions against observed UK grain yields. Agr Forest Meteorol 89:85-99 Landau S, Mitchell RAC, Barnett V, Colls JJ, Craigon J, Payne RW (2000) A parsimonious, multiple-regression model of wheat yield responses to environment. Agr Forest Meteorol 101:151-166 Matthews RB, Kropff MJ, Bachelet D, Horie T, Lee MH, Centeno HGS, Shin JC, Mohandass S, Singh S, Defeng Z (1995) Modeling the impact of climate change on rice production in Asia. In: Pen S, Ingram KT, Neue HU, Ziska LH (eds) Climate change and rice. Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, Germany, pp 314-325

McCown RL, Hammer GL, Hargreaves JNG, Holzworth DP, Freebairn DM (1996) APSIM: a novel software system for model development, model testing and simulation in agricultural systems research. Agr Syst 50:255-271

Nicholls N (1985) Impact of the Southern Oscillation on Australian crops. J Climatol 5:553-560 Osborne TM, Lawrence DM, Slingo JM, Challinor AJ, Wheeler TR (2004) Influence of vegetation on the local climate and hydrology in the tropics: sensitivity to soil parameters. Clim Dynam 23:45-61 Osborne TM, Lawrence DM, Challinor AJ, Slingo JM, Wheeler TR (2007) Development and assessment of a coupled crop-climate model. Glob Change Biol 13:169-183 Palmer TN, Alessandri A, Andersen U, Cantelaube P, Davey M, et al. (2004) Development of a European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER). B Am Meteorol Soc 85:853-872

Pitman AJ, Durbridge TB, Henderson-Sellers A, McGuffe K (1993) Assessing climate model sensitivity to prescribed deforested landscapes. Int J Climatol 13:879-898 Ramankutty N, Foley JA (1998) Characterising patterns of global land use: an analysis of global croplands data. Global Biogeochem Cy 12:667-685 Uehara G, Tsuji GY (1993) The IBSNAT project. In: Penning de Vries FWT, Teng PS, Metselaar K (eds) Systems approaches for agricultural development. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp 505-513

Vara Prasad PV, Craufurd PQ, Kakani VG, Wheeler TR, Boote KJ (2001) Influence of temperature during pre- and post-anthesis stages of floral development on fruit-set sand pollen germination in groundnut (Arachis hypogaea L.). Aust J Plant Physiol 28:233-240 Vara Prasad PV, Boote KJ, Hartwell Allen Jr L, Thomas JMG (2002). Effects of elevated temperature and carbon dioxide on seed-set and yield of kidney bean (Phaseolus vulgaris L.). Glob Change Biol 8:710-721

Wheeler TR, Hong TD, Ellis RH, Batts GR, Morison JIL, Hadley P (1996) The duration and rate of grain growth, and harvest index, of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) in response to temperature and CO2. J Exp Bot 47:623-630

Wheeler TR, Craufurd PQ, Ellis RH, Porter JR, Vara Prasad PV (2000) Temperature variability and the yield of annual crops. Agr Ecosyst Environ 82:159-167

Was this article helpful?

0 0

Post a comment