Predicting Climate Change and Its Consequences

Addressing a much longer time frame, some CGIAR centers are attempting to apply climate modeling to estimate the future impacts of global warming. CIAT and ILRI used a model called MarkSim, which uses data sources from thousands of weather stations worldwide to predict that tropical maize production could decline by 10% by the year 2055 due to global warming (Jones and Thornton 2003). They point out that 10% is merely an average; some areas could suffer much larger losses, with the poorest people being hit the hardest because they are the most dependent on maize as their staple food.

Was this article helpful?

0 0

Post a comment