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The A1F1 scenario takes us to atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide of 1000 ppm in 2100 otherwise known as the end of human civilization as we have known it. Actually it's worse than that. The 2001 IPCC report largely failed to model amplifying carbon cycle feedbacks. The 2007 IPCC report, which began to consider such feedbacks, warns that even averaging 11 GtC (billion metric tons of carbon) a year this century could take us to 1000 ppm. The A1F1 scenario averages well above 15 GtC a...

The Status Quo Media

Media coverage of global warming has not been very good nor is it likely to improve. Historically, even the most respected newspapers have fallen into the trap of giving the same credence and often the same amount of space to a handful of U.S. scientists, most receiving funds from the fossil fuel industry, as they give to hundreds of the world's leading climate scientists. No surprise that much of the public has ended up with a misimpression about the remarkable strength of our scientific...

The Bush Cheney Reign of Error

No two PEOPLE IN the HISTORY OF this country or indeed the world have done more to ensure that humanity will not act in time to stop catastrophic global warming than President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney. If we don't preserve a livable climate, future generations will judge them far more harshly than we do today. As a blogger, it was sometimes hard to know whether to cry or laugh at their absurdities. So I did both. Climate Progress Person of the Year for 2007 Until last week,...

Diagnosing Someone With Anti Scientific Syndrome ASS

Those who deny the climate science that makes clear global warming is an urgent problem or who seek to delay strong action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions have been more persuasive than climate scientists. These disinformers and delayers tend to be conservatives, so they have naturally been persuasive to conservatives. A National Journal poll in June 2008 found that only 26 percent of GOP Congress members believe it's been proven beyond a reasonable doubt that the Earth is warming because of...

The Clean Energy Solution

In 2005, British Prime Minister Tony Blair described the crucial two-pronged strategy we must adopt to preserve a livable climate We need to invest on a large scale in existing technologies and to stimulate innovation into new low-carbon technologies for deployment in the longer term. Future technology will be able to help preserve our way of life in the long term if and only if we have already moved on a large scale to technologies that already exist. Those who don't believe global warming is...

Uncharacteristically Blunt Scientists

In November 2007, the world's top climate scientists released their final report synthesizing all their work on climate science, impacts, and solutions. The situation was so dire that the leader of the UN effort, Rajendra Pachauri, said, If there's no action before 2012, that's too late. What we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. Far from being an alarmist, Pachauri was specifically chosen as Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change chair in 2002 after the Bush...

Is the Global Economy a Ponzi Scheme

YES, homo sapiens have constructed the grandest of Ponzi schemes, whereby current generations have figured out how to live off the wealth of future generations. Yes, we are all in essence Madoffs (a few wittingly, most not), or at least his most credulous clients. What comes next will be the subject of a multipart series. I had been planning to write something on this for a while when New York Times columnist Tom Friedman interviewed me for The Inflection Is Near which appears in today's Times...

The Clean Energy New Deal

We have a limited supply of fossil fuels, especially oil. Our burning of fossil fuels is destroying a livable climate. The two key questions are, first, will we voluntarily give up fossil fuels in the next couple of decades, rather than being forced to do so helter-skelter after it is too late to stop the catastrophe Second, when we do give them up, will the United States be a global leader in creating jobs and exports in clean energy technologies or will we...